Pre-tourney Rankings
San Jose St.
Mountain West
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#206
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#169
Pace72.8#62
Improvement+2.8#61

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#240
First Shot-1.2#217
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#286
Layup/Dunks+0.3#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#278
Freethrows+1.1#105
Improvement+3.6#26

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#180
First Shot-1.6#221
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#37
Layups/Dunks-5.4#336
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#93
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#26
Freethrows-1.3#253
Improvement-0.7#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2016 265   Portland L 66-79 72%     0 - 1 -21.8 -16.1 -4.4
  Nov 17, 2016 194   Denver L 69-74 55%     0 - 2 -9.2 -11.2 +2.2
  Nov 22, 2016 22   @ St. Mary's L 64-81 3%     0 - 3 +1.7 +6.9 -6.9
  Nov 27, 2016 171   @ Washington St. W 88-76 31%     1 - 3 +14.4 +16.4 -2.0
  Nov 29, 2016 221   @ Idaho W 58-49 44%     2 - 3 +7.7 -14.2 +22.1
  Dec 03, 2016 110   Santa Clara W 55-40 37%     3 - 3 +15.7 -4.3 +23.4
  Dec 07, 2016 198   @ Montana L 62-81 38%     3 - 4 -18.6 -11.9 -6.9
  Dec 18, 2016 239   Bowling Green W 77-76 67%     4 - 4 -6.3 +3.9 -10.1
  Dec 21, 2016 334   Southern Utah W 92-82 88%     5 - 4 -5.9 -2.3 -4.6
  Dec 28, 2016 54   @ Nevada L 55-80 9%     5 - 5 0 - 1 -12.7 -13.6 +0.8
  Jan 04, 2017 82   Colorado St. L 71-76 27%     5 - 6 0 - 2 -1.5 +4.1 -5.8
  Jan 07, 2017 98   Fresno St. W 69-62 32%     6 - 6 1 - 2 +9.0 -4.0 +12.8
  Jan 10, 2017 80   @ San Diego St. L 61-76 14%     6 - 7 1 - 3 -6.2 -7.2 +1.8
  Jan 14, 2017 215   @ Air Force W 89-85 43%     7 - 7 2 - 3 +3.0 +17.9 -14.7
  Jan 18, 2017 140   Wyoming L 70-80 44%     7 - 8 2 - 4 -11.2 -6.8 -3.7
  Jan 21, 2017 96   Boise St. L 65-75 31%     7 - 9 2 - 5 -7.8 -8.2 +0.4
  Jan 25, 2017 82   @ Colorado St. L 72-81 14%     7 - 10 2 - 6 -0.4 +4.0 -4.4
  Jan 28, 2017 231   UNLV W 76-72 66%     8 - 10 3 - 6 -3.0 -0.5 -2.6
  Feb 04, 2017 118   @ New Mexico W 78-68 22%     9 - 10 4 - 6 +15.2 +10.4 +5.2
  Feb 07, 2017 80   San Diego St. W 76-71 26%     10 - 10 5 - 6 +8.7 +4.8 +3.7
  Feb 11, 2017 231   @ UNLV W 76-74 46%     11 - 10 6 - 6 +0.1 +9.1 -8.9
  Feb 15, 2017 98   @ Fresno St. L 59-77 18%     11 - 11 6 - 7 -10.9 -6.5 -5.3
  Feb 18, 2017 215   Air Force W 83-78 OT 62%     12 - 11 7 - 7 -1.0 -4.3 +2.7
  Feb 22, 2017 121   Utah St. L 75-81 40%     12 - 12 7 - 8 -6.2 +0.2 -6.3
  Feb 25, 2017 96   @ Boise St. L 78-85 17%     12 - 13 7 - 9 +0.2 +3.6 -3.0
  Mar 01, 2017 54   Nevada L 67-82 17%     12 - 14 7 - 10 -7.8 -2.7 -5.5
  Mar 04, 2017 140   @ Wyoming L 62-74 26%     12 - 15 7 - 11 -8.1 -4.6 -4.2
  Mar 08, 2017 121   Utah St. L 64-90 31%     12 - 16 -23.6 -9.4 -13.7
Projected Record 12.0 - 16.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%